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Situation Analysis                                                         

Context

At independence in 1964 Zambia was economically a prosperous country although the economy was almost exclusively dependent on copper production. The per capita income of US$ 1, 200. 00 facilitated a rapid expansion of social and economic infrastructure (education, employment, health, roads and transportation, manufacturing, etc) all of which led to increased income levels, school enrolment up to University level and a longer life expectancy. Zambia's literacy levels were ranked amongst the highest in Africa. However, since the mid 1970s Zambia’s economic and social situation has been deteriorating due to the adverse effect of terms of trade and so the country has now been rated as one of the poorest, ranking 153 out of the 174 poorest nations (UNDP Human Development Report, 2000).

According to economic indicators, per capita income has continued to decline and poverty has reached alarming levels and Zambia is now among the Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC). Sources of livelihood in the formal sector have also declined and all existing reports on the social and economical situation in the country indicate that abject poverty affects over 80% of the Zambian population (over eight million people out of an estimated population of ten million). The privatisation of state-owned companies under the IMF/World Bank sponsored Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) has significantly contributed to the high poverty levels as this process resulted into massive unemployment in almost all economic sectors. Similarly, The agricultural sector that pre-occupies the vast majority of people in rural areas has suffered most as a result of the implementation of the Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) as prescribed by the World Bank and the IMF.

Zambia’s population is currently estimated at 10.3 million, of which 51% are women. The majority of this population is aged between 5 and 40 years of age. Over the past decade life expectancy has declined from 46.9 years in 1990 to 37.0years in 1999. It is estimated that currently 20% the adult population aged 15 to 49 is HIV positive. Being the most productive age group, the high prevalence of HIV/AIDS in this age group has serious social and economic implications to the nation. It is also estimated that 25% of pregnant women are HIV positive and 39.5% of babies born to positive mothers are infected with the virus.

The high incidence of HIV/AIDS has also significantly contributed to the degeneration in the socio-economic status of the majority of Zambians. To illustrate this, it is estimated that currently 20-35 % of households are headed by a single female. The number of child-headed households both in rural areas and urban areas is increasing at an alarming rate. According to estimates, 700,000 children have been orphaned as a result of AIDS. Of this total, 6% are street children while less than 1% of them are in orphanages. Nearly 75% of all households are caring for at least one orphan. This astronomical increase in the number of orphans resulting from the HIV/AIDS pandemic has severely overburdened the traditional African extended family system, which, to a large extent, can no longer cope with the situation.
 

     
 

 
     
 
 

© 2007 Zambia National AIDS Network. All rights reserved.